The cost of photovoltaics: Re-evaluating grid parity for PV systems
As the electricity in China is mainly provided by coal-fired power generation, supply-side grid parity suggests that the cost of PV systems should be competitive with the
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As the electricity in China is mainly provided by coal-fired power generation, supply-side grid parity suggests that the cost of PV systems should be competitive with the
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The scale of China''s DPV new grid-connected scale in 2022 will reach 51.114 million kilowatts (kW), accounting for more than 58% of the new installed PV capacity.
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New installed PV capacity in China keeps increasing (Figure 1) in response to the rapid fall in PV model prices and capital expenditure in terms of PV project capacity (Figure 2), as well as due
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The current composition and the status of the channeling of distributed PV grid connection costs in China are sorted out. The sunk cost of distributed PV self-generation is considered in the payment matrix. Distributed PV development under different cost-sharing schemes of grid connection are compared.
China has a strong share of distributed solar PV, with close to 225 GW out of 536 GW, reflecting a diverse and robust deployment and bringing affordable clean electricity alongside greater energy independence.
The development of distributed PV is the right choice based on actual national conditions and lessons learned from centralized PV. 2017 is a critical year of distributed PV development of China. As shown in Fig. 1, China's distributed PV installed 19.44 GW, which makes an increase of 15.21 GW year-on-year, and the growth rate reached 359%.
We focused on the trend and decline path of China's distributed PV costs. The LCOE of distributed PV in China is expected to achieve full parity in 2025. Except 100% grid-connected mode, the IRR of distributed PV power plants in three areas is higher than 8% which has shown good economic benefits.
We comprehensively analyzed the technology and cost performance of China's distributed PV. We focused on the trend and decline path of China's distributed PV costs. The LCOE of distributed PV in China is expected to achieve full parity in 2025.
Interestingly, these regions were among the top contributors to China's distributed PV installations in recent years. According to Energy Administration data, in 2023, Henan province led the distributed PV addition rankings with 13.89GW, followed by Jiangsu with 12.17GW and Shandong with 10.13GW in distributed PV additions.